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Consequences of US Withdrawal from the Paris Agreement
Type of Session
Poster Presentation
Abstract
In June 2017, President Donald Trump announced that the United States would withdraw from the most recent United Nations climate accord, the 2015 Paris Agreement. This study attempts to ascertain what the consequences of this announcement are- both those that have already arisen in the months since, and those that have been predicted by various sources. This study takes a comprehensive view of reactions from academics, politicians, journalists, and international organizations, and codes the consequences of US withdrawal as political (either international or domestic), economic (again, either within the US or in the global economy), or environmental. Using qualitative text analysis methods combined with quantitative statistical analysis, it is possible to answer questions about what types of consequences are the most widely present or predicted, and if certain trends arise- do foreign governments worry most about political ramifications, or economic problems such as eco-friendly products no longer being competitive in US markets? Do international organizations pay more attention to environmental consequences than governments do? To what extent do media biases affect journalists’ reactions to Trump’s withdrawal announcement? The poster associated with this study presents the data gathered, and the trends revealed by research questions such as those described in the previous few sentences. Using a constructivist framework, this study is a comprehensive review of the diverse consequences of US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.