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Investor Sentiment, Stock Market Reaction, Financial Well-Being, Risk, Volatility
How does the public react to stock market movements? We employ the Granger causality method on daily time diary data from the American Time Use Survey to test for significance correlations between public affective well-being and lagged daily market returns. We find that the public reacts to market returns on a 30-90 day lag. This result may be related to a number of observed market behaviors, including the tendency to mistime the market and the disposition effect. This information may also useful to financial planners for managing client expectations and reactions.
PhD Candidate
Assistant Professor
Associate Professor